The NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology (NCCN Guidelines) for Genetic/Familial High-Risk Assessment: Breast, Ovarian, and Pancreatic1 provide substantial groundwork for specialist practice in diverse fields: medical oncology, genetic counseling, and even laboratory genetics. With respect to CHEK2 variant carriers, NCCN Guidelines state that “The risks for most missense variants are unclear but for some pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants, such as Ile157Thr, the risk for breast cancer (BC) appears to be lower [than for frameshift pathogenic/likely pathogenic variants]. Management should be based on best estimates of cancer risk for the specific pathogenic/likely pathogenic variant.” This implies that CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr variant is considered by the NCCN Guidelines panel members to be classified as P/LP, and should be reported for risk management (contrary to variants classified as benign/likely benign [B/LB]).
Without speculations on variant classification in accordance with American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics/Sherloc guidelines,2,3 we may state that, first, this variant may be considered as a rare polymorphism (minor allele frequency [MAF] based on ExAC project 0.40%; in comparison: highest MAF across BRCA1/2 P/LP variants at 0.026% [ExAC] for BRCA2 p.Ser1982fs and the second highest MAF at 0.0067% [ExAC] for BRCA2 p.Cys61Gly, which are 16 times and 60 times higher than MAF for the CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr variant, respectively). Second, risk for BC associated with this variant appears to be low (as noted by current NCCN Guidelines, odds ratio [OR] for BC, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.42–1.75).4 These put this variant in line with other rare polymorphisms, which, despite B/LB classification (as of majority of CLINVAR submissions), may confer increased risk for BC (though significantly lower, compared with P/LP variants of the same gene). For example, BRCA2 p.Lys3326Ter - ExAC MAF, 0.70%; OR for BC, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.00–2.345 (in another study OR for estrogen receptor–negative BC, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.2–1.706); BRCA2 p.Lys2729Asn - ExAC MAF, 0.082%; OR for BC, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.12–1.787; and BRCA2 p.Gly2508Ser - ExAC MAF, 0.01%; OR for BC, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.44–4.78,8 contrary to known P/LP BRCA2 variants: OR for BC, 5.23; 95% CI, 4.09–6.77.9 Even with a similar risk for BC caused by CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr, these BRCA2 variants may be missed in genetic test reports due to B/LB classification. Furthermore, it should be noted that according to the latest research, the risk for BC associated with CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr appears to be lower than mentioned in current NCCN Guidelines (OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.17–1.39).10
Despite further research being required for fine-tuning associated risks in diverse populations, current NCCN Guidelines seem to support discrepancy in incorporating such low-risk variants in risk management. The CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr variant appears to be a cornerstone of such discrepancy, although its importance in genetic counseling is overestimated in comparison with other CHEK2 (p.Arg180Cys11) and non-CHEK2 hypomorphic variants, and presumably biased by legacy practice. Despite statistical significance, low clinical significance calls into question its classification as P/LP. It would be reasonable to consider it as a risk factor among other low-risk genetic factors (eg, other hypomorphic variants, protective variants, polygenic risk scores), although this would require more complex models for risk assessment. For now it seems doubtful to consider this variant as P/LP and incorporate it in risk management disregarding other low-risk genetic factors. We hope this growing evidence will engage consensus guidelines to solve discrepancy in classification, reporting and management of such lower risk variants.
References
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Nykamp K, Anderson M, Powers M, et al. Sherloc: a comprehensive refinement of the ACMG-AMP variant classification criteria. Genet Med 2017;19:1105–1117.
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Han FF, Guo CL, Liu LH. The effect of CHEK2 variant I157T on cancer susceptibility: evidence from a meta-analysis. DNA Cell Biol 2013;32:329–335.
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Thompson ER, Gorringe KL, Rowley SM, et al. Reevaluation of the BRCA2 truncating allele c.9976A > T (p.Lys3326Ter) in a familial breast cancer context. Sci Rep 2015;5:14800.
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Yang Y, Shu X, Shu XO, et al. Re-evaluating genetic variants identified in candidate gene studies of breast cancer risk using data from nearly 280,000 women of Asian and European ancestry. EBioMedicine 2019;48:203–211.
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Southey MC, Goldgar DE, Winqvist R, et al. PALB2, CHEK2 and ATM rare variants and cancer risk: data from COGS. J Med Genet 2016;53:800–811.