Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer diagnosed in the United States.1 Approximately 140,000 new CRC cases were diagnosed in 2016, and there are currently more than 1 million survivors.1 These numbers will continue to increase due to advances in cancer detection and treatment, as well as the aging of the population.2,3 This increasing patient population, with a mean age at diagnosis of 69 years, frequently presents with multiple comorbid conditions and complex care needs at the time of diagnosis. A recent study found that almost half of patients with colon cancer had ≥3 comorbidities, and patients with co-occurring diabetes spent more resources on medical treatment than any other group, excluding select patients with lung cancer.4 Additionally, evidence suggests older patients and those with a higher burden of comorbidity are less likely to receive and complete standard cancer treatments (eg, surgery, chemotherapy, radiation) and have lower rates of overall survival (OS).5–12
Effectively managing CRC treatment in patients with comorbid conditions is an important clinical issue. Determining how comorbid conditions cluster together, impact treatment selection, and ultimately influence prognosis in CRC is a critically understudied area. Studies have documented comorbidity index scores or the impact of a single comorbid condition (eg, diabetes) on treatment and survival for patients with CRC13–15; however, few if any have examined the impact of clusters of co-occurring comorbid conditions on treatment and OS. The objectives of this study were to identify clinically distinct comorbidity subgroups in patients with CRC from a large integrated healthcare system and to examine the effect of these subgroups on treatment selection and OS, addressing our a priori hypothesis that existing structured data can be used to determine if and how certain comorbid conditions cluster among patients with CRC. In addition, we examined the relationship between comorbidity clusters, treatment selection, and survival.
Methods
Setting
We performed a retrospective, observational cohort study using longitudinal data from Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC), a large integrated healthcare system providing care to more than 4.2 million members. KPSC clinicians provide care at 14 medical centers across the region, and have a comprehensive Epic-based electronic health record (EHR) system, implemented in 2007. KPSC membership is ethnically and economically diverse, and is similar to the general population of Southern California.16 This study was approved by the KPSC Institutional Review Board (IRB# 10458).
Patients
We identified patients diagnosed with first CRC occurrence (ICD-9 codes 153–154.1) between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2013, from the KPSC cancer registry, a SEER-affiliated registry. We restricted the sample to patients aged ≥18 years at diagnosis; those diagnosed between the ages of 18 and 64 years were included in order to include the comorbidity profiles of younger patients and to explore the potential influence of comorbidity on their treatment and survival, given that most existing studies focus on those diagnosed at age >65 years. We excluded patients with missing or unknown cancer stage, duplicate records, and nonanalytic cases (Figure 1). Nonanalytic cases are defined as patients who did not receive their cancer diagnosis and first course of treatment at KPSC. Patients who had KPSC membership but zero recorded physician visits before the date of CRC diagnosis were also excluded.
Data Sources and Variables
Variables from the KPSC tumor registry data included age at diagnosis, stage of disease (AJCC stage), histology, and treatment types. Available treatment data included receipt of chemotherapy (yes/no), receipt of radiation (yes/no), and surgical type, in accordance with SEER reporting standards. Detailed treatment data, such as adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy, were not available. The KPSC EHR provided sociodemographic variables including date of birth, sex, race/ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), marital status, insurance type, and education and income (geo-coded at the census block or block group when available). Comorbid conditions were captured from the EHR by using the Deyo adaptation of the Charlson comorbidity index (DaCCI), which provides a standardized list of ICD diagnostic codes (ICD-9) that define each comorbid condition. We included ICD-9 codes that appeared at least once up to 4 years before the CRC diagnosis17–19 to capture comorbid conditions with high sensitivity. We selected the DaCCI for its broad generalizability and ability to be replicated in multiple settings, because the required data can be captured by administrative claims data and/or EHRs. We included the following chronic conditions: myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, dementia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, connective tissue disease, rheumatic disease, peptic ulcer disease, mild liver disease, diabetes with and without complications, paraplegia/hemiplegia, renal disease, cancer (excluding the index CRC cancer), moderate or severe liver disease, metastatic carcinoma, and AIDS/HIV. KPSC membership files and death data sets, obtained from the California State Death Master Files and the Social

Cohort diagram for patients diagnosed with first colorectal cancer (CRC) between 2008–2013 within Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026

Cohort diagram for patients diagnosed with first colorectal cancer (CRC) between 2008–2013 within Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Cohort diagram for patients diagnosed with first colorectal cancer (CRC) between 2008–2013 within Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Statistical Analysis
We described continuous variables by reporting means and standard deviations, and used counts and frequencies for categorical variables. We described the burden of comorbid conditions by reporting counts of specific comorbidities and the weighted CCI score. Latent class analysis (LCA) was used to determine the number and composition of comorbidity-defined subgroups, or “classes,” that fit the data most parsimoniously, using individual comorbidities in the model.21 LCA is a type of structural equation modeling used for finding subgroups of related cases from multivariate categorical data. The resulting latent classes represent groups of like individuals and distinguishes them from other individuals who are less alike. Using multiple iterations, the model estimates the posterior probability of class membership for each individual, and subsequently places the individual in the class for which the probability of membership is highest; results are reviewed and a final determination is made by the study team. In this study, LCA grouped comorbidities into the best fit number of classes based on their observed distribution in the population.22 We selected the most parsimonious number of classes by combining information from the Lo-Mendell-Rubin (LMR) test and Bayesian information criterion to triangulate the best fitting number of classes. We conducted a sensitivity analysis using LCA to examine comorbidity classes in patients diagnosed at ≤65 years of age versus ≥66 years of age. To describe general treatment approach by comorbidity class, we categorized the percent of patients by stage in each class who received different combinations of treatment. Bivariate and multivariable binomial regression models were used to estimate risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals, comparing each of the 3 comorbidity classes against a common referent class, class 1. We categorized treatment regimen as either recommended or nonrecommended. To compare survival between comorbidity classes, we used Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression. When performing survival analysis, we adjusted for multiple pairwise comparisons between comorbidity classes by using the Bonferroni correction.
Patient Characteristics, Cancer Treatment, and Comorbidities


Results
We identified 7,803 patients with CRC (Table 1). Median age at diagnosis was 66 years, and 46% were diagnosed at ≤65 years of age; 52% were male, 22% were Hispanic, 15% were black, 10% were Asian/Pacific Islander, and 52% were white. The mean number of years for KPSC membership prior to CRC diagnosis was 17 (SD, 13), and the interquartile range was 6 years (Q1) to 26 years (Q3). Two-thirds of the patients had a BMI ≥25 kg/m2. The stage distribution was 42% stage 0–I, 22% stage II, 22% stage III, and 14% stage IV. Most patients (89%) received surgery, 34% received chemotherapy, 10% received radiation therapy, and 5% received no treatment. The mean CCI score was 1.8 (SD, 2.3). Overall, approximately one-fifth of the patients (19%) had a weighted CCI score of ≥4, 40% had between 1 and 3, and the remaining 41% had a score of zero.
Comorbidity Classes
LCA resulted in 4 distinct classes by comorbidity types (LMR, P<.001; Table 2); detailed statistical results can be seen in supplemental eAppendix 1 (available with this article at JNCCN.org). Both the LMR test and the Bayesian information criterion agreed on the number of classes. Class 1 included relatively younger, healthy individuals with few comorbidities, representing 67% of the sample, with a median age at diagnosis of 62 years (Table 3). Although still relatively infrequent, the most common comorbidities in this class were chronic pulmonary disease (15%) and diabetes without complications (13%). Class 2, representing 15% of the total sample, was characterized mainly by patients with vascular and/or respiratory disease: 22% myocardial infarction, 27% congestive heart failure, 43% peripheral vascular disease, and 27% cerebrovascular disease. The median age at diagnosis for class 2 was 77 years, with a mean CCI of 3.3 (SD, 1.9). Other conditions in class 2 included renal disease (32%) and uncomplicated diabetes (19%). Class 3, representing 13% of the sample, was characterized mainly by the presence of diabetes with microvascular complications (78%), with a high prevalence of accompanying renal disease (60%) and a relatively low prevalence of respiratory or cardiovascular disease. The median age of class 3 was 76 years, with a mean CCI of 3.6 (SD, 1.8). Class 4, representing 5% of the total sample, had the highest burden of comorbid conditions, with an average CCI of 7.2 (SD, 1.9). The median age of 71 years was slightly younger compared with classes 2 and 3. This class was dominated by patients with complicated diabetes (83%), renal disease (87%), congestive heart failure (72%), peripheral vascular disease (70%), chronic pulmonary disease (54%), myocardial infarction (43%), and cerebrovascular disease (38%). Less common comorbid conditions in class 4 included cancer (other than the index CRC; 21%) and liver disease (8%). We found a higher percentage of ever-smokers in classes 2 and 4 compared with classes 1 and 3 (54% vs 40%, respectively; P<.001). The overlap by class of the most common comorbidities, including diabetes and vascular and respiratory diseases, is represented in Figure 2.
Results from the sensitivity analysis indicate little difference in comorbidity types and subsequent class membership assignment between patients diagnosed at ≤65 years of age versus those diagnosed at ≥66 years of age (supplemental eAppendix 2). The optimal
Classes by Comorbidity Types


Treatment
We described treatment receipt by class and stage (Table 4). There were statistically significant differences in treatment combinations by class within each stage group, broken out by stage 0–II (early stage), stage III, and stage IV. Table 5 shows an unadjusted and adjusted comparison of early- versus late-stage disease by class. Most patients with stage 0–II disease in each of the 4 classes received surgery only, in accordance with NCCN Guidelines recommendations.20 However, more class 1 members received multimodality treatment (surgery + chemotherapy or surgery + chemotherapy + radiation) for early-stage disease than those in the other 3 classes (although class 1 patients had a similar disease distribution of stage 0, I, and II disease as the other classes). For patients with stage III disease, those in classes 1 and 3 more frequently received NCCN Guideline–recommended combined treatment (surgery + chemotherapy or surgery + chemotherapy + radiation) than those in classes 2 or 4. Those in classes 2 or 4 more frequently received only surgery for stage III disease (40% and 46%, respectively, vs 15% and 22% for classes 1 and 3, respectively). This pattern was also observed among patients with stage IV disease, wherein members in classes 1 and 3 more frequently received more intensive surgery plus chemotherapy (37% and 36%, respectively, vs 17% and 17% for classes 2 and 4, respectively). Patients in classes 2 and 4 with stage
Comorbidity Class Profiles




Survival by Stage and Comorbidity Class
Kaplan-Meier estimates revealed a statistically significant association between comorbidity class membership and OS (P<.001). Class 4 had the poorest OS, with a median survival of 2.6 years (Figure 3). In addition, survival appeared to be better for individuals in class 3 than for those in class 2, but did not reach statistical significance after correcting for multiple comparisons (P=.01, Bonferroni corrected value). Unadjusted analyses of survival by comorbidity class, stratified by stage, showed a significant effect of comorbidity class for all stages (Figure 4). After adjustment for stage, age, sex, race/ethnicity, BMI, and marital status, comorbidity class was still associated with survival (P<0.001, Bonferroni corrected value). There were 6 total comparisons for the classes, setting the nominal P value for statistical significance at 0.0083 (0.05/6). Stage of disease (χ2, 315) explained more variability in survival than comorbidity class (χ2, 68). There was a statistically significant interaction between comorbidity class and stage (likelihood ratio test, P<.001). Comorbidity class was a slightly stronger source of variability in survival than the CCI score alone (log-rank χ2, 413 vs 380, respectively).
Additionally, we examined hazard ratios (HRs) for unadjusted and adjusted models to compare survival by class, as well as the stage-specific HRs for an adjusted model, which included a class-by-stage interaction (Table 6). All classes had worse survival than class 1, with class 4 having the poorest survival compared with all other classes, both before and after covariate adjustment. Furthermore, the differences in survival between classes were greatest among patients who had early-stage disease (stage 0–II) and were not statistically significant for those with stages III–IV, except when comparing class 4 with the others.
Discussion
In this population-based study from a large integrated healthcare system, we found that patients with CRC could be grouped into 4 distinct classes defined by clusters of comorbid conditions, and that the resulting comorbidity classes were associated with significant differences in both receipt of stage-specific treatment and survival. In our primary analysis, comorbidity classes 1 through 4 were defined by progressively greater mean CCI scores and by recognizable patterns of cardiovascular, respiratory, and metabolic disorders. Class 1 comprised most of the sample, and most patients in this class had no Charlson-defined comorbidities or only one comorbid condition. Close to half of our cohort (46%) was diagnosed with CRC at ≤65 years of age, with a median age at diagnosis of 66 years. This sample is somewhat younger than those reported in other CRC cohort studies, and our resulting comorbidity profiles may be influenced by the age distribution (eg, younger patients are less likely to have multimorbidity). Patients in class 1 more frequently received NCCN Guideline–recommended stage-specific CRC treatment and had better survival than those in any of the other classes, despite having a similar stage distribution as those in

Overlap of the most common Charlson-defined comorbidities by latent class analysis–defined classes (N=7,803).
Abbreviations: CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DBS-c, complicated diabetes; VSC, vascular disease.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026

Overlap of the most common Charlson-defined comorbidities by latent class analysis–defined classes (N=7,803).
Abbreviations: CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DBS-c, complicated diabetes; VSC, vascular disease.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Overlap of the most common Charlson-defined comorbidities by latent class analysis–defined classes (N=7,803).
Abbreviations: CCI, Charlson comorbidity index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; DBS-c, complicated diabetes; VSC, vascular disease.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Classes 2 and 3 appeared very similar in terms of median age at diagnosis and mean CCI score, and represented a similar proportion of the larger cohort. However, patients in class 2, which was characterized primarily by the presence of cardiovascular or cardiorespiratory diseases, were less likely to receive recommended stage-specific treatment than those in class 3, which was characterized primarily by diabetes with microvascular complications, including kidney disease. Patients in class 3 were less likely to receive no treatment than those in class 2 across all disease
Initial Treatment Received by Comorbidity Class, Stratified by Stage


Unadjusted, Adjusted, and Stage-Specific ORs



Kaplan-Meier survival trends by class profile for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026

Kaplan-Meier survival trends by class profile for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Kaplan-Meier survival trends by class profile for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803).
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Although comorbidity class alone may not explain treatment selection (eg, although age alone should not be a contraindication, age at diagnosis can play a significant role in treatment selection26), our findings suggest that clusters of comorbidities do have a significant association with treatment. This is in line with other studies that show that patients with CRC with multiple comorbidities are less likely to receive chemotherapy.8,27 Additionally, we found a high prevalence of smoking-related disease (respiratory and vascular) in classes 2 and 4.
Our study has several important implications for research and clinical practice. Although comorbid conditions are common in patients with CRC, the most common presentation we found was single or no comorbidity. In addition, although the high prevalence of respiratory and cardiac conditions in our sample is not surprising, we found a common comorbidity profile dominated by diabetes with renal complications. These comorbidity profiles appear to be associated with treatment decision-making. It is noteworthy that the effect of comorbidity class on survival persisted when we adjusted for stage. In addition, there was a statistically significant interaction between comorbidity class and stage, and LCA was found to be superior to using the CCI alone. We reported similar findings in a large cohort of patients with lung cancer.28 More fundamentally, our findings represent a shift away from simple counting of comorbid conditions and toward a richer, more nuanced understanding of how comorbidities cluster within groups of patients with CRC. We hope that this approach will lead to potentially actionable findings for clinical settings. Our findings indicate the need to learn more about the effect of comorbidity

Kaplan-Meir survival trends by class profile, stratified by cancer stage, for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803) (A) Stage 0–I, (B) stage II, (C) stage III, and (D) stage IV.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026

Kaplan-Meir survival trends by class profile, stratified by cancer stage, for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803) (A) Stage 0–I, (B) stage II, (C) stage III, and (D) stage IV.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Kaplan-Meir survival trends by class profile, stratified by cancer stage, for patients with first time diagnoses of colorectal cancer (N=7,803) (A) Stage 0–I, (B) stage II, (C) stage III, and (D) stage IV.
Citation: Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network J Natl Compr Canc Netw 16, 1; 10.6004/jnccn.2017.7026
Important strengths of the study include the large sample, the community-based, integrated healthcare setting, and the availability of comprehensive EHRs with longitudinal data to capture the full burden of comorbid conditions. Additionally, we had the opportunity to include younger patients (eg, age 18–64 years) who are typically underrepresented in CRC research. Our results indicate that most younger patients have few comorbidities, as expected.
Limitations include the retrospective study design, lack of detailed treatment data (eg, adjuvant vs
Unadjusted, Adjusted, and Stage-Specific HRs


Conclusions
We identified 4 clinically distinct classes of comorbid conditions in patients with CRC. We found that these classes were associated with both treatment and OS, even when controlling for disease stage. Patients with multimorbidities with a high prevalence of cardiovascular disease were less likely to receive recommended treatment and had worse OS. Ultimately, this information can be used to provide personalized care for patients with CRC throughout the cancer care continuum.
The authors have disclosed that they have no financial interests, arrangements, affiliations, or commercial interests with the manufacturers of any products discussed in this article or their competitors.
See JNCCN.org for supplemental online content.
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