Background: A prediction model for overall survival (OS) in metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) including patient and treatment characteristics is currently not available, but it could be valuable for supporting clinicians in patient communication about expectations and prognosis. We aimed to develop a prediction model for OS in metastatic PDAC, called SOURCE-PANC, based on nationwide population-based data. Materials and Methods: Data on patients diagnosed with synchronous metastatic PDAC in 2015 through 2018 were retrieved from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. A multivariate Cox regression model was created to predict OS for various treatment strategies. Available patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were used to compose the model. Treatment strategies were categorized as systemic treatment (subdivided into FOLFIRINOX, gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel, and gemcitabine monotherapy), biliary drainage, and best supportive care only. Validation was performed according to a temporal internal–external cross-validation scheme. The predictive quality was assessed with the C-index and calibration. Results: Data for 4,739 patients were included in the model. Sixteen predictors were included: age, sex, performance status, laboratory values (albumin, bilirubin, CA19-9, lactate dehydrogenase), clinical tumor and nodal stage, tumor sublocation, presence of distant lymph node metastases, liver or peritoneal metastases, number of metastatic sites, and treatment strategy. The model demonstrated a C-index of 0.72 in the internal–external cross-validation and showed good calibration, with the intercept and slope 95% confidence intervals including the ideal values of 0 and 1, respectively. Conclusions: A population-based prediction model for OS was developed for patients with metastatic PDAC and showed good performance. The predictors that were included in the model comprised both baseline patient and tumor characteristics and type of treatment. SOURCE-PANC will be incorporated in an electronic decision support tool to support shared decision-making in clinical practice.
Héctor G. van den Boorn, Willemieke P.M. Dijksterhuis, Lydia G.M. van der Geest, Judith de Vos-Geelen, Marc G. Besselink, Johanna W. Wilmink, Martijn G.H. van Oijen, and Hanneke W.M. van Laarhoven
Kimberly H. Allison
Jamie E. Flerlage
Justine M. Kahn and Melissa Beauchemin
Despite extraordinary strides in cancer therapy over the past 30 years, racial/ethnic, socioeconomic, and age-related survival disparities persist. Hodgkin lymphoma offers an excellent paradigm to understand these disparities because successful approaches are well established in both the up-front and relapsed treatment settings. The following review, which accompanies the 2021 NCCN Guidelines for Pediatric Hodgkin Lymphoma, suggests that systemic inequities in cancer care disproportionately affect minority and low-income children, adolescents, and young adults, and directly contribute to observed disparities in cancer-related outcomes. It proposes that the first step toward reducing disparities is large-scale dissemination of guidelines, because equity is best achieved when treatment approaches are clear, comprehensive, and standardized across all clinical practice settings.
Matthew J. Ehrhardt, Jamie E. Flerlage, Saro H. Armenian, Sharon M. Castellino, David C. Hodgson, and Melissa M. Hudson
The successful integration of clinical trials into pediatric oncology has led to steady improvement in the 5-year survival rate for children diagnosed with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL). It is estimated that >95% of children newly diagnosed with HL will become long-term survivors. Despite these successes, survival can come at a cost. Historically, long-term survivors of HL have a high risk of late-occurring adverse health effects and increased risk of nonrelapse mortality compared with the general population. The recognition of late-occurring events paired with the decades of life remaining for children cured of HL have made paramount the need to develop effective treatments that minimize the risk of late toxicity. Toward this goal, multiple, dose-intense, risk- and response-based regimens that use lower cumulative doses of chemotherapy and radiation have been developed. Appropriate frontline treatment selection requires a level of familiarity with the efficacy, acute toxicity, convenience, and late effects of treatments that may be impractical for providers who infrequently treat children with HL. There is an increasing need for guideline developers to begin to merge considerations from both frontline treatment and survivorship guidelines into practical documents that integrate potential long-term health risks. Herein, we take the first steps toward doing so by aligning cumulative treatment exposures, anticipated risks of late toxicity, and suggested surveillance recommendations for NCCN-endorsed Pediatric HL Guidelines. Future studies that integrate simulation modeling will strengthen this integrated approach and allow for opportunities to incorporate regimen-specific risks, health-related quality of life, and cost-effectiveness into decision tools to optimize HL therapy.