Incident Cancer Detection During Multiple Waves of COVID-19: The Tsunami After the Earthquake

Authors:
Rui Fu ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto;

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Rinku Sutradhar ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and

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Qing Li ICES, Toronto, Ontario;

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Timothy P. Hanna Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Cancer Research Institute, Queen’s University, Kingston;
Ontario Institute for Cancer Research (OICR), Toronto;

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Kelvin K.W. Chan Odette Cancer Centre–Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto;
Ontario Health–Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto;

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Jonathan C. Irish Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery/Surgical Oncology, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto;

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Natalie Coburn ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Ontario Health–Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto;
Department of Surgery,

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Julie Hallet ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Odette Cancer Centre–Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto;
Department of Surgery,

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Anna Dare ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Surgery,

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Simron Singh ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Medicine, and

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Ambica Parmar ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Department of Medicine, and

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Craig C. Earle ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Department of Medicine, and

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Lauren Lapointe-Shaw ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Medicine, and

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Monika K. Krzyzanowska ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Medicine, and

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Antonio Finelli ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Surgery,

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Alexander V. Louie Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Toronto, Toronto;

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Nicole J. Look Hong ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Surgery,

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Ian J. Witterick Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto;
Ontario Health–Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto;
Department of Otolaryngology–Head & Neck Surgery/Surgical Oncology, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Toronto;

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Alyson Mahar School of Nursing, Queen’s University, Kingston;

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David Gomez ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Surgery,
Division of General Surgery, St. Michael’s Hospital, Unity Health Toronto, Toronto;

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Daniel I. McIsaac ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa; and

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Danny Enepekides Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto;

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David R. Urbach ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Department of Surgery, Women’s College Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.

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Antoine Eskander ICES, Toronto, Ontario;
Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, and
Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto;

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No population-based study exists to demonstrate the full-spectrum impact of COVID-19 on hindering incident cancer detection in a large cancer system. Building upon our previous publication in JNCCN, we conducted an updated analysis using 12 months of new data accrued in the pandemic era (extending the study period from September 26, 2020, to October 2, 2021) to demonstrate how multiple COVID-19 waves affected the weekly cancer incidence volume in Ontario, Canada, and if we have fully cleared the backlog at the end of each wave.

Submitted August 29, 2022; accepted for publication September 15, 2022.

Disclosures: Dr. Eskander has disclosed receiving grant/research support from Merck and serving as a consultant for Bristol Myers Squibb. Dr. Hallet has disclosed receiving honoraria from Ipsen Biopharmaceuticals and Novartis Canada. The remaining authors have disclosed that they have not received any financial consideration from any person or organization to support the preparation, analysis, results, or discussion of this article.

Funding: This work was supported by a Sunnybrook Research Institute and Sunnybrook Foundation COVID-19 Response Grant and a Canadian Institutes of Health Research Operating Grant #179892.

Disclaimer: The funders had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Correspondence: Antoine Eskander, MD, ScM, University of Toronto, 2075 Bayview Avenue, M1-102, Toronto, Ontario, Canada M4N 3M5. Email: antoine.eskander@mail.utoronto.ca
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